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Sample spaces and the axioms

Kolmogorov's axioms, events as sets, conditional probability and Bayes.

Probability is a measure on events: non-negative, total 1, additive over disjoint events. Conditional probability P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B), and Bayes reverses the conditioning. Picture it: a tree diagram; multiply along branches, add across leaves. Think it: the axioms are measure theory with total mass 1, which is why the two subjects merged.

Töötatud näide · 1 - (5/6)^4

Arithmetic · Arithmetic

Evaluate 1 - (5/6)^4

1 - \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^{4}

Samm-sammult

  1. 1 - \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^{4} = 1 - \frac{625}{1296}

    Power: (5/6)^4 = 625/1296.

  2. 1 - \frac{625}{1296} = \frac{671}{1296}

    Simplify.

Vastuse avalikustamine
\frac{671}{1296} \approx 0.51775

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Kuidas: Sample spaces and the axioms

  1. Power: (5/6)^4 = 625/1296.
  2. Simplify.

Küsimusi, mida inimesed küsivad

What is the difference between probability and statistics?

Probability goes from a known model to what the data should look like; statistics goes from data back to the model. Probability theory is the deductive half.

What does the law of large numbers promise?

That the average of many independent samples converges to the expected value. It says nothing about any single trial.

Rohkem Probability Theory

Random variables and expectationThe common distributionsThe law of large numbers and the central limit theorem