Applying Probability to Ramsey Theory

The following theorem, due to P. Erdős, is a true classic, and is presented here in a manner that is faithful to how it was first published. As we shall see later, it was subsequently recastbut that's getting the cart ahead of the horse.

Now let's take a second look at the proof of . We consider a probability space \((S,P)\) where the outcomes are graphs with vertex set \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\). For each \(i\) and \(j\) with \(1\le i \lt j\le t\), edge \(ij\) is present in the graph with probability \(1/2\). Furthermore, the events for distinct pairs are independent.

Let \(X_1\) denote the random variable which counts the number of \(n\)-element subsets of \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\) for which all \(\binom{n}{2}\) pairs are edges in the graph. Similarly, \(X_2\) is the random variable which counts the number of \(n\)-element independent subsets of \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\). Then set \(X=X_1+X_2\).

By linearity of expectation, \(E(X)=E(X_1)+E(X_2)\) while \[\begin{aligned}\end{aligned}\] If \(E(X)\lt 1\), then there must exist a graph with vertex set \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\) without a \(K_n\) or an \(I_n\). And the question of how large \(t\) can be while maintaining \(E(X)\lt 1\) leads to exactly the same calculation we had before.

Condensed: the full section is in Keller & Trotter, Applied Combinatorics.