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Applying Probability to Ramsey Theory
The following theorem, due to P. Erdős, is a true classic, and is presented here in a manner that is faithful to how it was first published.
Applying Probability to Ramsey Theory
The following theorem, due to P. Erdős, is a true classic, and is presented here in a manner that is faithful to how it was first published. As we shall see later, it was subsequently recastbut that's getting the cart ahead of the horse.
Now let's take a second look at the proof of . We consider a probability space \((S,P)\) where the outcomes are graphs with vertex set \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\). For each \(i\) and \(j\) with \(1\le i \lt j\le t\), edge \(ij\) is present in the graph with probability \(1/2\). Furthermore, the events for distinct pairs are independent.
Let \(X_1\) denote the random variable which counts the number of \(n\)-element subsets of \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\) for which all \(\binom{n}{2}\) pairs are edges in the graph. Similarly, \(X_2\) is the random variable which counts the number of \(n\)-element independent subsets of \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\). Then set \(X=X_1+X_2\).
By linearity of expectation, \(E(X)=E(X_1)+E(X_2)\) while \[\begin{aligned}\end{aligned}\] If \(E(X)\lt 1\), then there must exist a graph with vertex set \(\{1,2,\dots,t\}\) without a \(K_n\) or an \(I_n\). And the question of how large \(t\) can be while maintaining \(E(X)\lt 1\) leads to exactly the same calculation we had before.
Condensed — the full section is in Keller & Trotter, Applied Combinatorics.
Symbols used here
Number of k-element subsets of n things: n!/(k!(n−k)!).
i² = −1.
Inequalities that allow equality; < and > exclude it.
n × (n−1) × … × 1; the number of orderings of n things. 0! = 1.
Add a_k for k = 1 up to n.
Antiderivative (indefinite) or signed area from a to b (definite).
In either; in both; in A but not B.
Average of the data; average of the whole population.
Typical distance from the mean; its square.
Chance of A; chance of A given that B happened.
Probability-weighted average of X; its spread.
The bell curve with mean μ and variance σ²; (x − μ)/σ.
Size of a set; the family of sets that can be measured.
Questions people ask
What is the difference between probability and statistics?
Probability goes from a known model to what the data should look like; statistics goes from data back to the model. Probability theory is the deductive half.
What does the law of large numbers promise?
That the average of many independent samples converges to the expected value. It says nothing about any single trial.
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Parts of this page are adapted from Keller & Trotter, Applied Combinatorics (CC BY-SA 4.0). Condensed and re-explained here; errors are ours.
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